Markouts Lab

Per-swap markout PnL across V3 and V4 ETH/USDC pools, benchmarked against Binance ETH/USDC spot at 1-second resolution. The markout is computed as eth_delta × (ref_price(t+Δ) − swap_price), where swap_price is taken from the Swap event and already includes the LP fee. So the markout is net of fees: positive = LP's fee revenue exceeded LVR over that horizon; negative = LVR exceeded fees (LP lost net). Horizons: 0 = at swap block, 1blk = +12s, 1m / 5m / 60m = at swap block + delta.
PoolSwapsVolumeMO @0MO @1blkMO @1mMO @5mMO @60mMarkout Intensity @1mMO vs Fees Coverage @1m
ETH/USDC 0.05% V3156,570$1.73B$144.6K$57.6K$52.8K$97.2K$114.3K+0.31 bps+6.1%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V3438,372$1.43B$98.3K$80.4K$78.0K$79.4K$79.9K+0.54 bps+54.4%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V4108,489$120.05M$8.0K$7.3K$7.2K$7.2K$7.2K+0.60 bps+59.6%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V316,232$93.09M$11.1K$1.7K$4.3K$5.6K$12.5K+0.46 bps+1.5%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V411,222$88.12M$-18.5K$-3.5K$-2.4K$-7.2K$-1.4K-0.27 bps-0.9%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V450,172$65.52M$-929.37$-3.6K$-6.1K$-5.5K$-5.5K-0.93 bps-18.6%

Cumulative Markout PnL — ETH/USDC 0.05% V4 (90d)