Markouts Lab

Per-swap markout PnL across V3 and V4 ETH/USDC pools, benchmarked against Binance ETH/USDC spot at 1-second resolution. The markout is computed as eth_delta × (ref_price(t+Δ) − swap_price), where swap_price is taken from the Swap event and already includes the LP fee. So the markout is net of fees: positive = LP's fee revenue exceeded LVR over that horizon; negative = LVR exceeded fees (LP lost net). Horizons: 0 = at swap block, 1blk = +12s, 1m / 5m / 60m = at swap block + delta.
PoolSwapsVolumeMO @0MO @1blkMO @1mMO @5mMO @60mMarkout Intensity @1mMO vs Fees Coverage @1m
ETH/USDC 0.01% V3377,430$1.41B$103.1K$83.9K$85.8K$82.6K$82.2K+0.61 bps+61.0%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V3112,999$1.14B$101.9K$49.4K$70.7K$84.9K$98.1K+0.62 bps+12.4%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V4103,715$130.04M$10.5K$9.9K$10.1K$9.9K$9.9K+0.77 bps+77.5%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V310,020$69.37M$-11.5K$-16.8K$-11.6K$-11.1K$-5.2K-1.67 bps-5.6%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V443,376$62.22M$496.00$-1.9K$-949.93$-261.11$-1.1K-0.15 bps-3.1%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V48,425$48.06M$-6.9K$-10.0K$-5.8K$-4.8K$552.78-1.20 bps-4.0%

Cumulative Markout PnL — ETH/USDC 0.30% V3 (30d)