Markouts Lab

Per-swap markout PnL across V3 and V4 ETH/USDC pools, benchmarked against Binance ETH/USDC spot at 1-second resolution. The markout is computed as eth_delta × (ref_price(t+Δ) − swap_price), where swap_price is taken from the Swap event and already includes the LP fee. So the markout is net of fees: positive = LP's fee revenue exceeded LVR over that horizon; negative = LVR exceeded fees (LP lost net). Horizons: 0 = at swap block, 1blk = +12s, 1m / 5m / 60m = at swap block + delta.
PoolSwapsVolumeMO @0MO @1blkMO @1mMO @5mMO @60mMarkout Intensity @1mMO vs Fees Coverage @1m
ETH/USDC 0.01% V3377,672$1.41B$102.7K$83.6K$85.6K$82.5K$82.1K+0.61 bps+60.7%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V3113,135$1.14B$101.8K$49.9K$72.0K$85.1K$98.3K+0.63 bps+12.7%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V4103,823$130.13M$10.5K$9.9K$10.1K$9.9K$9.9K+0.77 bps+77.4%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V310,035$69.56M$-11.6K$-16.8K$-11.6K$-11.1K$-5.3K-1.66 bps-5.5%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V443,400$62.33M$454.86$-1.9K$-945.69$-264.34$-1.1K-0.15 bps-3.0%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V48,447$48.21M$-7.0K$-10.0K$-5.8K$-4.8K$540.55-1.19 bps-4.0%

Cumulative Markout PnL — ETH/USDC 0.05% V3 (30d)