Markouts Lab

Per-swap markout PnL across V3 and V4 ETH/USDC pools, benchmarked against Binance ETH/USDC spot at 1-second resolution. The markout is computed as eth_delta × (ref_price(t+Δ) − swap_price), where swap_price is taken from the Swap event and already includes the LP fee. So the markout is net of fees: positive = LP's fee revenue exceeded LVR over that horizon; negative = LVR exceeded fees (LP lost net). Horizons: 0 = at swap block, 1blk = +12s, 1m / 5m / 60m = at swap block + delta.
PoolSwapsVolumeMO @0MO @1blkMO @1mMO @5mMO @60mMarkout Intensity @1mMO vs Fees Coverage @1m
ETH/USDC 0.01% V3377,397$1.41B$103.1K$84.1K$86.0K$82.8K$82.4K+0.61 bps+61.1%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V3112,985$1.14B$102.1K$49.5K$71.1K$85.4K$98.5K+0.62 bps+12.5%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V4103,711$130.03M$10.5K$9.9K$10.1K$9.9K$9.9K+0.78 bps+77.6%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V310,017$69.33M$-11.5K$-16.8K$-11.6K$-11.0K$-5.2K-1.67 bps-5.6%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V443,371$62.19M$505.22$-1.9K$-925.37$-244.19$-1.1K-0.15 bps-3.0%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V48,420$48.03M$-6.9K$-10.0K$-5.8K$-4.8K$593.52-1.20 bps-4.0%

Cumulative Markout PnL — ETH/USDC 0.01% V4 (30d)