Markouts Lab

Per-swap markout PnL across V3 and V4 ETH/USDC pools, benchmarked against Binance ETH/USDC spot at 1-second resolution. The markout is computed as eth_delta × (ref_price(t+Δ) − swap_price), where swap_price is taken from the Swap event and already includes the LP fee. So the markout is net of fees: positive = LP's fee revenue exceeded LVR over that horizon; negative = LVR exceeded fees (LP lost net). Horizons: 0 = at swap block, 1blk = +12s, 1m / 5m / 60m = at swap block + delta.
PoolSwapsVolumeMO @0MO @1blkMO @1mMO @5mMO @60mMarkout Intensity @1mMO vs Fees Coverage @1m
ETH/USDC 0.01% V3111,711$377.17M$21.0K$13.7K$13.7K$13.0K$12.1K+0.36 bps+36.3%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V331,077$353.68M$2.5K$-18.7K$-6.7K$-5.7K$-9.1K-0.19 bps-3.8%
ETH/USDC 0.01% V435,622$45.24M$3.5K$3.1K$3.1K$3.1K$3.1K+0.69 bps+69.4%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V32,886$19.86M$-4.5K$-6.4K$-3.5K$-3.4K$-4.5K-1.75 bps-5.8%
ETH/USDC 0.05% V411,040$15.96M$-955.07$-1.8K$-1.2K$-1.1K$-1.9K-0.78 bps-15.6%
ETH/USDC 0.30% V43,091$15.48M$-2.3K$-3.6K$-1.4K$-1.7K$-2.1K-0.93 bps-3.1%

Cumulative Markout PnL — ETH/USDC 0.01% V4 (14d)